House Republicans could reach the 218 seats they need to flip the chamber. As of Saturday night, CBS News estimated Republicans would win at least 214 seats, while Democrats were projected to win at least 210 seats.
Republicans are ahead in several prominent races. Still, there are some upsets afoot for Democrats, and CBS News predicted Saturday night that Democrats had flipped Washington state’s 3rd Congressional District, a seat the GOP preferred to hold.
There are currently 11 races that have not been called, and 10 of those seats are considered “battlefield”. Of those remaining on the field, five were rated as “flips,” two in the “likely Democrat” category, one as “leaning Democrat” and two as “leaning Republican.”
Democratic strategists working on this round of House elections say it will take a “miracle,” but Democrats have a possible path to retaining the majority.
They then had to win at least 8 of the remaining 11 seats.
Of California’s nine undeclared and contested races (California’s 3rd, 9th, 13th, 22nd, 27th, 41st, 45th, 47th, and 49th), three “leaned Republican.” “.
For Republicans, California could help them get to the brink of winning the majority if their candidates hold on to their lead.
Mitchell said that for Democrats to have any chance of keeping the House, they must win the 22nd, 27th and 41st districts, all of which are carried by a Republican incumbent.
“If the Democrats win all three races in California, then think that the possibility increases that the Democrats can take the House of Representatives. But if the Democrats lose one of those three, the odds go down, they lose two of those three, the door. closes,” Mitchell said.
Sarah Chamberlain, president of the Main Street Partnership, a Republican group that works with more moderate House Republicans, said she is confident that Republicans David Valadao and Ken Calvert will fill their seats.
Republicans are also leading in another tough race, Colorado’s 3rd District, where GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert leads by about 1,100 votes with 99 percent of the results.
Democratic incumbents were projected to win three seats in Nevada. Maine’s 2nd District and Alaska’s at-large district, two ranked-choice seats, leaned Democratic.
“From the calculations we’ve done, I think it’s a foregone conclusion [that Republicans take the House]said Chamberlain. – But it will be very close. It will be just a few seats. And it shouldn’t have been, I mean, this should have been a landslide, honestly.”
In the primaries, Chamberlain’s group supported Republican candidates such as Rep. Peter Major of Michigan and Jamie Herrera-Beutler, House Republicans targeted by former President Donald Trump. Chamberlain argued that the moderate, mainstream candidates his caucus had chosen would be more competitive in the general election than the right-wing candidates who won them over and were on the ballot.
He said the issue of candidate quality, as well as the disconnect between Trump and the rest of the Republican establishment, is why control of the House remains so tight.
“I don’t think Trump is leaving,” Chamberlain said. “We just have to make better decisions with Trump. I think some of Trump’s nominees hurt us on Tuesday. And that’s why we have to work together as a party and move forward.”